Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.439988 0.517241 0.602106 0.701985 0.816036 0.941921 1.091089
2024-11-03 0.325778 0.429278 0.554276 0.715155 0.915392 1.154985 1.461781
2024-11-10 0.250970 0.365275 0.515019 0.722752 1.000204 1.354349 1.836289
2024-11-17 0.198671 0.315985 0.481081 0.725419 1.071824 1.538366 2.205649
2024-11-24 0.163578 0.281786 0.459067 0.736682 1.150940 1.734759 2.605156
2024-12-01 0.135071 0.250778 0.434865 0.738395 1.212676 1.908553 2.984498
2024-12-08 0.107705 0.215484 0.397239 0.712319 1.226862 2.011139 3.265839
2024-12-15 0.094819 0.202262 0.392637 0.736803 1.319736 2.236392 3.743996
2024-12-22 0.083152 0.188761 0.384991 0.754159 1.401235 2.448691 4.215943
2024-12-29 0.077070 0.184795 0.393421 0.799623 1.532740 2.748956 4.845418
2025-01-05 0.066011 0.168330 0.375855 0.795509 1.577493 2.909736 5.259834
2025-01-12 0.056121 0.152239 0.356350 0.784764 1.608292 3.047800 5.643966
2025-01-19 0.047797 0.138152 0.339189 0.777236 1.645735 3.202796 6.072581
2025-01-26 0.042547 0.130327 0.334063 0.793123 1.728626 3.443657 6.665239
2025-02-02 0.037498 0.121840 0.326108 0.802006 1.798499 3.665790 7.239033
2025-02-09 0.032791 0.113116 0.316148 0.805140 1.856812 3.870195 7.793183
2025-02-16 0.029253 0.106793 0.310804 0.817557 1.934622 4.115576 8.435512
2025-02-23 0.025649 0.099338 0.301415 0.819463 1.990359 4.322104 9.017561
2025-03-02 0.021228 0.088051 0.280229 0.790910 1.978168 4.395472 9.353514
2025-03-09 0.019617 0.085592 0.282026 0.817736 2.088624 4.717389 10.179903
2025-03-16 0.017880 0.082220 0.280757 0.836745 2.183093 5.012712 10.970214
2025-03-23 0.017302 0.082927 0.291178 0.886510 2.351180 5.467474 12.094832
2025-03-30 0.015130 0.076958 0.281126 0.882009 2.393594 5.665268 12.721050